World No. 3 Iga Swiatek will be in action for the semifinal clash against Ninth-seeded Elena Rybakina at the 2025 Cincinnati Masters. Rybakina outclassed the world No. 1 and defending champion, Aryna Sabalenka to reach the semifinals. Swiatek dispatched Anna Kalinskaya in straight sets to book her place in the top four. It will be their 10th meeting on the WTA tour.
Elena Rybakina defeated two former Grand Slam winners, Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka en route to semifinals. The Kazakh ace is going to play her third consecutive semifinals after Citi DC Open and National Bank Open. However, she failed to reach the title glory in previous two attempts and she would like to change the fortune this time. Rybakina posted a dominating 41-15 record in 2025 and her current hard-court run in North America is remarkable.
Iga Swiatek had huge pressure after not defending the title at Roland Garros. The Polish ace reached her first grass-court final but lost. Then, she went on to claim the Wimbledon title without dropping a game. The former No. 1 ended the long drought of not winning the title last month and now, she wants to make the most out of it in North American hard-court swing. Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set this week and her current form makes her superior. In last 30 Masters event, she has reached semifinals in 21 events which is a big achievement.
Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Head to Head Record
It’s been a lengthy and top-notch rivalry between Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina. Both have competed each other in nine matchups and Swiatek holds the edge with a 5-4 record. Swiatek won the previous three matchups this year, including French Open 4th round. Rybakina holds an edge in Masters and Grand Slams. The Polish ace holds the 3-2 lead on hard court.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | French Open | Fourth Round | Iga Swiatek | 1-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 2025 | Doha | Quarterfinals | Iga Swiatek | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 2025 | United Cup – Australia | Round 1/2 | Iga Swiatek | 7-6(5), 6-4 |
| 2024 | Porsche Tennis Grand Prix | Semifinals | Elena Rybakina | 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 2024 | Doha | Finals | Iga Swiatek | 7-6 (8), 6-2 |
| 2023 | Rome Masters | Quarterfinals | Elena Rybakina | 2-6, 7-6(3), 2-2 ret. |
| 2023 | Indian Wells | Semifinals | Elena Rybakina | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 2023 | Australian Open | Round of 16 | Elena Rybakina | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 2021 | J&T Banka Ostrava Open | Quarterfinals | Iga Swiatek | 7-6(5), 6-2 |
Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Career Comparison
| Iga Swiatek | Category | Elena Rybakina |
| 3 | Ranking | 11 |
| 384–86 | Career W-L | 358–154 |
| 47-12 | YTD W-L | 41-15 |
| 23 | Career Titles | 9 |
| 6 | Grand Slams | 1 |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 1 |
Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina 2025 Cincinnati Open Prediction
Although Iga Swiatek has a comfortable edge in the head-to-head, she is yet to counter Rybakina in last few matchups. The previous French Open clash was one of the prime examples. The Polish ace is on a three-match winning streak and this one will still be a tough one. Rybakina has one-dimensional approach and she has the ability to trouble Swiatek. The winner of this game could go on to lift title considering the form.
Prediction: Rybakina to win in three sets.
Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina 2025 Cincinnati Open Betting Odds
At 13/10, Rybakina is heavily backed by bookmakers, while Swiatek’s 20/29 odds reflect her quality of securing a big win. The numbers strongly point toward a surprise win for the Kazakh ace.
Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:
- Iga Swiatek: 13/10
- Elena Rybakina: 20/29
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players
- Total Sets Under 2.5: 8/13
- Total Sets Over 2.5: 27/20
- Total Games Under 24.5: 8/13
- Total Games Over 24.5: 5/4
- Swiatek Wins Set 1: 3/4
- Rybakina Wins Set 1: 6/5